Template:DropRates/NoDrop

== No Drops Calculation == This calculates the maximum expected drop rate based on how many tries were made without a single drop occurring. This is used to calculate the upper bound in probability... eg: if I've opened 5 widgets and got nothing, the rate will probably be under 50%. if I open up 1000 widgets and got nothing, the rate will probably be under 1%. This uses a formula to derive just how high the rate could possibly go and returns that number, rounded to 4 places. It basically takes the standard 'odds I get a drop' formula of Odds=Rate^Tries and solves it for Rate, using 'margin' in place of odds.

In the case of an 'all drops' scenario, invert the result (subtract the result from 100).

Usage: tries = the number of attempts at a drop. margin = the error margin to use. Defaults to 0.95, which equates to 95% The result is rounded to 4 places of precision, which may display as fewer if the last digit(s) are zeros. The result may be subtraced from 100 for the 'all drops' scenario. Some samples: 5 tries, no drops 95% margin is ~45%, calculates: % 50 tries, no drops 95% margin is ~5.8%, calculates: % 1000 tries, no drops 95% margin is ~0.3%, calculates: % 8 tries, 8 drops 95% margin is ~69%, calculates: %