Drop rate/Gift of the Traveler

Note
If you add your drops/gifts to this chart, please also update the totals and percentages at the bottom. However, if you do not know how to calculate these, simply enter your drops/gifts as to avoid miscalculations and confusion. Thank you.

The preferred sample size for level 2 analysis is in the range of 5-25 gifts. 4 samples of 25 (100 gifts) are of equal value to 1 sample of 400 gifts in this analysis.

Key
Merc = Mercantile Summoning Stones

Myst Ton = Mysterious Tonics

Myst SS = Mysterious Summoning Stones

Cott Ton = Cottontail Tonics

Bott Rock = Bottle Rockets

Keg = Keg of Aged Hunter's Ale

Honey = Honeycombs

Jar = Jars of Honey

Cham Pop = Champagne Poppers

Green Candy = Green Rock Candies

Blue Candy = Blue Rock Candies

Red Candy = Red Rock Candies

Aged Ale = Aged Hunter's Ales

Spark = Sparklers

Disco = Disco Balls

Moss Egg = Moss Spider Egg

Walk Stick = Traveler's Walking Stick

Vamp DS = Vampiric Dragon Sword

Mini Gwen = Miniature Gwen Doll

Mini Yak = Miniature Professor Yakkington

Mini Brown = Miniature Brown Rabbit

Crate = Crates of Fireworks

Ever Cott = Everlasting Cottontail Tonic

BoStaff = Traveler's Bo Staff

InscRazor = Ascalon Razor

InscIDS = Icy Dragon Sword

HuntAle = Hunter's Ales

Observed Rates - Summary
Table last updated by Yamagawa 03:10, 3 August 2009 (UTC)

Notes:
 * Estimated drop rates reported on this table may not precisely match the average of the rates reported in the first table. This is because the rate from each sample is averaged together, and as the samples are of different sizes, the average of the samples and the average of all packages will not match exactly.  This is normal.
 * The +/- value represents the confidence interval, or how much the actual drop rate may vary from the estimated rate. Eg: If Mysterious Tonics have a drop rate of 14.24% and  a +/- interval of 2.95%, the the actual drop rate is expected to be between 11.29% and 17.19%
 * The confidence interval is calculated using a 95% confidence level, which means that 1 in 20 actual rates will fall outside the interval. There are 27 total items in the table.
 * The drop rates for low rate items may not be as accurate as the confidence span indicates until such items are reported in multiple drops ( >5). This is because low drop rates can have high variability in large samples (eg: A 0.5% drop rate can be expected to drop between 3 and 7 items after  1000 samples a full 50% of the time (placing the measured rate as anywhere between 0.3% and 0.7%) and 95% of the time it would produce between 1 and 9 drops.

To Be Reviewed
Any faulty data rows (i.e. those where the sum of each item isn't the same as the value in the first column) go in here. If the authors of these rows could please review their entries and correct them if possible. Feel free to reinsert them above and delete them here if you've done so. Oh, and please don't delete the table header and the above statement anymore, even if the table is empty. Saves us from doing it all over again whenever there's a faulty row. Thanks :)