This article tracks the the drop rate for Lunar Fortunes, split by year. The drop percentages seem to stay roughly the same year-to-year.
Note: In order to make sure the results are valid, the user must use the Lunar Fortune themselves, decide to record the Lunar Fortune's contents before opening it, and must record the date. Otherwise there is a risk of artificially skewing data, see the Wikipedia article on statistical bias for details. Please also update the totals and percentages if you add data. It's more work, but it's the most important part.
Extra note: once someone makes an error, the rest of the totals and percentages will also suffer. Use a simple spreadsheet to check.
Lunar Fortune [Year of the Pig 2007]
Level 1 Data
Total Number | Bottle Rocket | 100 | Champ. Popper | Lunar Blessing | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Spiritual Poss. | Miniature Pig | Signature |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
144 | 11 | 48 | 26 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 13 | - | --Pork soldier 01:26, 19 February 2007 (CST) |
37 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | -- Jan 00:24, 19 February 2007 (EST) |
96 | 8 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | - | -- Pondy 21:12, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
204 | 22 | 72 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 18 | - | -- Burple 07:00, 18 February 2007 (EST) |
155 | 23 | 43 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 22 | - | --PRNG 18:24, 17 February 2007 (PST) |
83 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 15 | - | --Gwen 18:59, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
115 | 12 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 10 | - | --Webz 12:59, 17 February 2007 (PST) |
103 | 14 | 29 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 10 | - | --DocNuas 20:01, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
40 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | --Dragonaxe 16:43, 16 February 2007 (CST) |
54 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | --220.233.103.77 21:53, 16 February 2007 (CST) |
32 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -- Flashcry 01:14, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
21 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | -- Tasha Darke 20:39, 16 February 2007 (CST) |
38 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - | - Entice789 (Talk | Contributions) 21:43, 16 February 2007 (CST) |
83 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 1 | -- Rabia 01:32, 17 February 2007 (EST) |
22 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -- Infinity 02:10, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
137 | 16 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 13 | 14 | - | -- 68.209.230.87 00:18, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
100 | 6 | 29 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 13 | - | -- DemonikProphet 13:44, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
83 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | - | —[Adul] 03:44, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
252 | 35 | 85 | 24 | 38 | 22 | 21 | 26 | 1 | -- Astrael 11:26, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
81 | 6 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 5 | - | --Arfinn 08:08, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
70 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | - | --Ivory 20:10, 17 February 2007 (GMT) |
31 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - | --zeeZ 11:29, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
50 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | - | -- Riveted 11:41, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
32 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - | -- Roady 11:41, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
136 | 20 | 40 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 2 | -- Ishmaeel 12:06, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
100 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 0 | --MistraL 02:18, 18 February 2007 (JST) |
270 | 31 | 88 | 39 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 25 | - | -- Nethya 17:48, 17 February 2007 (GMT) |
103 | 10 | 34 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 9 | - | -- Diodora 19:05, 17 February 2007 (GMT) |
100 | 13 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 15 | - | -- Krol 19:19, 17 February 2007 (GMT) |
55 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | —Dr Ishmael (talk|contribs) 15:15, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
331 | 43 | 125 | 28 | 28 | 35 | 43 | 29 | - | -- Raptor 21:01, 17 February 2007 (GMT) |
86 | 9 | 36 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | - | -- Zaq 18:21, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
124 | 14 | 49 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 1 | -- Khan Reaper Kerensky 19:48, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
81 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 6 | - | -- SkyeMarin 20:03, 17 February 2007 (EST) |
25 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | -- (talk) 20:02, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
152 | 17 | 42 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 1 | --Deliciously Evil 20:13, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
148 | 13 | 41 | 25 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 10 | - | -- Kalomeli (talk) 20:46, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
117 | 14 | 43 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 9 | - | -- Ishmaeel 21:35, 17 February 2007 (CST) |
96 | 12 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 12 | - | -- (talk) 03:32, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
93 | 8 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 1 | --Kalomeli (talk) 03:44, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
122 | 11 | 37 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 1 | --Sasha 04:04, 18 February 2007 (EST) |
23 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | --Silver Spirit 11:44, 18 February 2007 (GMT) |
109 | 13 | 32 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 7 | - | -- Michael57 07:31, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
108 | 9 | 35 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 12 | - | -- random curly wierdo 15:57, 18 February 2007 (GMT) |
50 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | --MRA 16:18, 18 February 2007 (CST) |
100 | 7 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 1 | -- MistraL 18:14, 20 February 2007 (JST) |
100 | 16 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 0 | -- MistraL 18:14, 20 February 2007 (JST) |
250 | 34 | 84 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 35 | 0 | -- Reiketsukage 06:30, 15 March 2007 (EST) |
46 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -- Kalendraf 20:15, 10 February 2008 (CST) |
Total Number | Bottle Rocket | 100 | Champ. Popper | Lunar Blessing | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Spiritual Poss. | Miniature Pig | Signature |
4988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Totals |
Lower Bound | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Lower Bound |
Average | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Average |
Upper Bound | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | 0.06004% | Upper Bound |
Totals last updated by MasterPatricko 19:49, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
Level 2 Data
As of: 03:14, 20 February 2007 (CST)
- Bottle Rockets: +/- 11.39%
- 100g: +/- 32.84%
- Champagne Poppers: +/- 11.63%
- Lunar Blessing: +/- 10.56%
- Sparklers: +/- 11.86%
- Lucky Aura: +/- 10.99%
- Spiritual Possession: +/- 10.20%
- Mini Pig: +/- 0.34%
Note: the errors indicated are standard errors (standard deviation divided by the square root of the number of data points).
It seems these percentages are converging to roughly 11.1%, 33.3% and 0.33%
Lunar Fortune [Year of the Rat 2008]
Level 1 Data
Total Number | Bottle Rocket | 100 | Champ. Popper | Lunar Blessing | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Spiritual Poss. | Miniature Rat | Signature |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -- Khazad Guard 04:31, 9 February 2008 (UTC) |
17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -- Khazad Guard 09:40, 9 February 2008 (UTC) |
50 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | -- Angelica Warheart 13:39, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
54 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -- Zer Bean 08:22, 9 February 2008 (MST) |
38 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | -- Del Weiss 17:35, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
250 | 41 | 71 | 36 | 20 | 32 | 17 | 31 | 2 | -- Khazad Guard 17:26, 9 February 2008 (UTC) |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -- User:Xiko 16:03, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
127 | 14 | 44 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 1 | -- User:S A T S 18:26, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
53 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 0 | -- Zerbean 11:54, 9 February 2008 (MST) |
226 | 19 | 70 | 31 | 32 | 38 | 21 | 14 | 1 | -- Yujiko Ineluki 19:18, 9 February 2008 (UTC) |
80 | 13 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 1 | -- User:Darkerviti 20:06, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
51 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -- Cloe The Cunning 13:42, 9 February 2008 (MST) |
300 | 40 | 93 | 44 | 39 | 27 | 38 | 19 | 0 | -- Kazumi Arisu 22:22, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
182 | 22 | 49 | 36 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 15 | 0 | -- User:Saikano 27:22, 9 February 2008 (GMT) |
108 | 13 | 31 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 0 | -- Enmity Rain 21:02, 9 February 2008 (EST) |
62 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | -- Mootboot 02:17, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
250 | 38 | 65 | 46 | 17 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 2 | -- Endy 05:26, 10 February 2008 (CET) |
250 | 27 | 70 | 36 | 29 | 41 | 19 | 27 | 1 | -- Endy 05:54, 10 February 2008 (CET) |
64 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | -- User:Holy Girl Erika 11:05, 9 February 2008 (CST) |
166 | 16 | 57 | 27 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 0 | -- Bsinkk 06:25, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
440 | 69 | 128 | 65 | 42 | 61 | 36 | 38 | 1 | -- PRNG 09:27, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
100 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 0 | -- Mootboot 15:06, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
66 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 0 | -- Zer Bean 10:35, 10 February 2008 (MST) |
150 | 19 | 44 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 23 | 1 | -- User:Nadezhda Su Argot 11:16, 10 February 2008 (CST) |
147 | 18 | 52 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 11 | 22 | 0 | -- Krenn 18:34, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
250 | 43 | 70 | 27 | 19 | 43 | 21 | 24 | 3 | --MasterPatricko 19:49, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
395 | 55 | 127 | 62 | 30 | 59 | 33 | 29 | 0 | --Ipolych 20:57, 10 February 2008 (UTC) |
50 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | -- Enmity Rain 17:53, 10 February 2008 (EST) |
119 | 18 | 40 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 0 | -- Krenn 01:21, 11 February 2008 (UTC) |
47 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -- PRNG 01:37, 11 February 2008 (UTC) |
337 | 48 | 104 | 35 | 27 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 1 | -- Kalendraf 21:45, 11 February 2008 (CST) |
216 | 26 | 52 | 31 | 20 | 42 | 19 | 25 | 1 | -- Sephrina Pendragon 00:29, 11 February 2008 (EST) |
217 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 16 | 36 | 17 | 29 | 4 | -- Khazad Guard 05:38, 11 February 2008 (UTC) |
63 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | -- Discobadger 17:38, 11 February 2008 (UTC) |
36 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -- Enmity Rain 18:41, 11 February 2008 (EST) |
29 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -- Darkerviti 11:44, 12 February 2008 (GMT) |
34 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | —♥Jedi♥Rogue♥ 23:02, 4 April 2008 (UTC) |
33 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | --Wolfie (talk|contribs) 05:49, 24 June 2008 (UTC) |
Total Number | Bottle Rocket | 100 | Champ. Popper | Lunar Blessing | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Spiritual Poss. | Miniature Rat | Signature |
5067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Totals |
Lower Bound | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Lower Bound |
Average | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Average |
Upper Bound | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | 0.0591% | Upper Bound |
Totals last updated by Wolfie (talk|contribs) 05:49, 24 June 2008 (UTC)
Lunar Fortune [Year of the Ox 2009]
Level 1 Data
Total Number | 100 | Bottle Rocket | Champ. Popper | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Lunar Blessing | Spiritual Poss. | Mini Ox | Signature |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
504 | 149 | 71 | 72 | 54 | 50 | 42 | 62 | 4 | —Dr Ishmael 02:24, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
99 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 0 | —Fezgik 15:38, 31 January 2009 |
54 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 83.26.191.130 13:43, 31 January 2009 |
135 | 38 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 3 | — Yujiko Ineluki 20:41, 31 January 2009 (UTC) |
83 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 1 | — Vyral 05:50, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — OKILUBB 06:23, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
97 | 26 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 2 | — Ikswort 06:46, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
52 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | — Barrow Adown 08:45, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
250 | 59 | 36 | 36 | 40 | 19 | 29 | 31 | 0 | — 69.231.53.56 12:13, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
176 | 42 | 37 | 24 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 1 | — 82.244.81.173 16:34, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
250 | 79 | 43 | 36 | 31 | 17 | 16 | 27 | 1 | — Ailar 18:17, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
75 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | — Wolfer991 15:06, 1 February 2009 (Central) |
136 | 40 | 12 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 1 | — S_A_T_S 21:51, 1 February 2009 (UTC) |
197 | 58 | 25 | 23 | 30 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 2 | — Moni Thor 22:15, 1 February 2009 (GMT) |
100 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 2 | — Kalendraf 1:15, 2 February 2009 (GMT) |
100 | 31 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 1 | — tcol 8:45, 2 February 2009 (GMT) |
55 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | — Ailar 18:10, 2 February 2009 (UTC) |
26 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — Ross 23:19, 2 February 2009 (GMT+1) |
207 | 36 | 40 | 32 | 34 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 2 | — Screams 00:27, 3 February 2009 (GMT) |
460 | 142 | 63 | 69 | 65 | 25 | 46 | 48 | 2 | --Wolfie (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC) |
5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | --Unzinc 14:45, 5 February 2009 (GMT-7) |
Total Number | 100 | Bottle Rocket | Champ. Popper | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Lunar Blessing | Spiritual Poss. | Mini Ox | Signature |
3066 | 879 | 457 | 423 | 414 | 251 | 294 | 324 | 24 | Totals --Wolfie (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC) |
100% | 28.67% | 14.91% | 13.80% | 13.50% | 8.19% | 9.59% | 10.57% | 0.78% | Percent --Wolfie (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC) |
Lunar Fortune [Year of the Tiger 2010]
Level 1 Data
Total Number | 100 | Bottle Rocket | Champ. Popper | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Lunar Blessing | Spiritual Poss. | Mini Tiger | Signature |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
60 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | — 71.146.81.65 09:08, February 14, 2010 (UTC) |
30 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — X lorien X 18:43, February 14, 2010 (UTC) |
240 | 64 | 37 | 44 | 28 | 17 | 27 | 22 | 1 | — Bottle130 19:02, February 14, 2010 (UTC) |
300 | 83 | 49 | 48 | 37 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 3 | — Kalendraf 21:50, February 14, 2010 (UTC) |
349 | 110 | 36 | 43 | 46 | 32 | 36 | 44 | 2 | — wite_c 04:52, February 15, 2010 (UTC) |
186 | 51 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 0 | --Afya 06:50, February 15, 2010 (UTC) |
55 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — --MIB4u 09:28, February 15, 2010 (UTC) |
783 | 236 | 108 | 120 | 110 | 69 | 69 | 70 | 1 | — --User:GBM 12:45, February 16, 2010 (UTC) |
162 | 44 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 0 | — 205.209.190.118 09:39, February 15, 2010 (UTC) |
159 | 52 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 19 | 0 | |
250 | 69 | 31 | 31 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 29 | 2 | |
55 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | JonTheMon 14:43, February 16, 2010 (UTC) |
141 | 34 | 20 | 22 | 43 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 1 | --anonymous 23:39, February 16, 2010 (UTC) |
Total Number | 100 | Bottle Rocket | Champ. Popper | Sparkler | Lucky Aura | Lunar Blessing | Spiritual Poss. | Mini Tiger | Signature |
2770 | 798 | 377 | 409 | 405 | 260 | 242 | 286 | 13 | Totals -- GBM 15:09, March 8, 2010 (UTC) |
100% | 28.80% | 13.61% | 14.76% | 14.62% | 9.38% | 8.73% | 10.32% | 0.46% | Percent -- GBM 15:12, March 8, 2010 (UTC) |